Anne M. Stark: New climate model evaluation method can help to predict more accurate future change

Combining a new evaluation technique for climate models with observations could reduce the uncertainty in predicting future change.

That is the result of a new study by a Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) scientist and collaborators who investigated the evaluation technique (called emergent constraints or ECs) in Earth System Models and found that this method may improve the models by focusing attention on the variables most relevant to climate projections. The research appears in the March 18 edition of the journal Nature Climate Change.

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